China’s population will peak in 2029 at 1.44 billion before beginning a period of “unstoppable” decline, a government report says.
The China Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) study says the country must implement policies to handle a smaller workforce and an older population.
Both changes combined could cause “very unfavourable social and economic consequences”, the report says.
Oh man! Will that mean a shortage in LiveLeak China Vehicle Crash videos?
When China ended its one-child policy three years ago, there was hope couples would have a second child to help slow the pace of an ageing society. But the move isn’t working
The declining birth rate is now one of the most talked-about topics across China – and there’s a real sense of crisis.
After decades spent trying to curb the population, state propaganda slogans now exhort couples to “Have children for the country”, prompting criticism on social media that government policy is intrusive and insensitive.
In 1957, 4.3 million babies were born in the United States. In 2017, 60 years later, the number was 3,853,472. That’s an 11 percent decline, in a nation whose population has nearly doubled over those six decades. And though there are a few days left in 2018, the number for this year is sure to be lower.
That’s the dominant finding from the thorough — and alarming — report “Declining Fertility in America” by Lyman Stone of the American Enterprise Institute and the Institute for Family Studies.
Europe is dying. It has cast off the possibility of recovery and awaits the inevitable.
“Where are all the children ”, asked the Washington Post this week in a report from Greece on its post-financial crisis. The Greek economy no longer falls on Europe as a danger to the euro, but the country is starting to struggle with the next phase: demographic suicide as it faces the smallest post-war generation in Greece.
The European Statistical Office estimates that the Greek population of 10.7 million will decrease by 32 percent. “By 2080 the population of the country could fall to 7.2 million”. In 2017 in Italy, 458,151 new children were registered. That is over 15 thousand less than in 2016. Over a period of 3 years (from 2014 to 2017), births decreased by about 45 thousand, while they were almost 120 thousand less than 2008.
A report by the Schuman Foundation, named for one of the founding fathers of the European Union, gets its report out with an eloquent title: “Europe 2050, demographic suicide”.
Italy’s populist government wants to reward parents who have a third child with the offer of free farmland, in a new plan aimed at reviving the country’s low birth rate.
The children-for-land incentive, inserted into Italy’s latest draft budget, aims to give parcels of state-held agricultural land for 20 years to parents who give birth to a third child between 2019 and 2021.
Families also would be eligible for zero-interest loans for up to €200,000 (£175,000) if they opt to buy their first home near their newly acquired land.
Although the great engine of American capitalism is now humming on all cylinders, Americans remain strangely reluctant to have children.
That birthrates plummeted during the Great Recession, which ran from 2008 to 2016, is no surprise. Who would want to bring children into a jobless, stagnant economy? But the return of prosperity after the 2016 election should have produced a quick uptick in births. That, after all, was the consistent pattern we had seen in the past.
“A democracy disappears”, wrote Andrew Sullivan last April in the New York Magazine, before Viktor Orban was confirmed Prime Minister of Hungary. The fear was for the so called “illiberal democracy”. Orban is the leader of the “other Europe”. The troublemaker. The bad boy of the EU.
The Hungarian premier, from migrants to liberalism, is certainly the nemesis of Brussels, and that is why the European Parliament just sanctioned his country. A democracy certainly disappeared in Hungary, but not for the reasons given by Sullivan, but because of an appalling demographic crisis.
In France, questioning peacefully about the effects of immigration remains a dangerous undertaking. Between our colonial past, the traumas of the Second World War, the fear of playing the extreme right, everything is combined to make it a taboo. In demographic terms, however, the truth is simple to say that: immigration plays an important role”. Thus went the inquiry of the French weekly L’Express. The writer Renaud Camus called it the “Great Replacement”. His fears, too often dismissed as paranoia, are well based on numbers.
It is false to argue that Greece is dying demographically because of austerity (although it certainly has not helped). For many years after the civil war in the 1980s, Greek demographic values were among the highest of all other European countries, 2.2 children per woman. Then, after 1994, the birth rate stopped at 1.3 children.
Writing in the Wall Street Journal last week, Yannis Palaiologos, a journalist from Ekhatimerini, says that according to a study by the University of Thessaly there will be a reduction of about 25 percent in the Greek population by 2050. Even more worrying is the forecast of the country’s statistical agency (Elstat), according to which by 2080 the population of the country could fall to 7.2 million.
WASHINGTON — Deaths now outnumber births among white people in more than half the states in the country, demographers have found, signaling what could be a faster-than-expected transition to a future in which whites are no longer a majority of the U.S. population.
The Census Bureau has projected that whites could drop below 50 per cent of the population around 2045, a relatively slow-moving change that has been years in the making. But a new report this week found that whites are dying faster than they are being born now in 26 states, up from 17 just two years earlier, and demographers say that shift might come even sooner.
During the post-Second World War decades, global leaders and intellectuals were tortured with the prospect of a planet with too many people to feed, but now the industrialized world is challenged by too few babies and greying populations.
China, through draconian enforcement of a one- and now a two-child policy, and Japan, through public information campaigns and better access to birth control, dramatically suppressed fertility to well below the replacement rate of 2.1 children per woman.
We can show you that demographics in Europe are changing due to the influx of migrants from Asia and Africa. Possibly, we will even convince you that this is taking place.
Some of you will conclude that it is a problem that must be stopped. Others of you will shrug. You will ask yourself, so what? What does it matter that Europe’s demographic make up is changing? Why should you care?
After all, you are not a racist and you have no issues with people from other backgrounds. Without racism, what other reasons could you have to want to prevent this demographic change?
If you’re a parent, you’ve had at least one passing discussion on the closure of Toys R Us. The mega-giant toy chain that ruled the childhoods of many of today’s parents is shuttering nearly 200 stores this month. While bankruptcy is the official reason, it isn’t the only or perhaps even the biggest reason why Geoffrey the Giraffe is being sent to the big zoo in the sky: Debt. Competition from online retailers like Amazon, as well as cheaper big-box stores like Wal-Mart and Target. Yes, bad customer service, too. All of these are the most commonly cited reasons for the ultimate failure of Toys R Us. But, hidden within their press release on the bankruptcy is a reason rooted in cultural trends, the stuff that ultimately makes or breaks economic indicators…
Douglas Murray is an English writer whose book, The Strange Death of Europe: Immigration,Identity, Islam explores the rapidly changing nature of the continent. He is an interesting, articulate man who is rarely heard in the mainstream media because he is “always banging on about immigration”. And banging on about immigration could lead viewers and readers dangerously close to perilous shoals, like supporting Brexit.
Shortly after Angela Merkel’s nation-shaping decision to allow over a million migrants to enter Germany in 2015, her ministerial team set about explaining the motives behind her actions. While Merkel’s justification took the form of many divergent arguments one, in particular, was at the forefront of the Chancellor’s reasoning. Demographics.