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Prevent is not giving an accurate picture of UK terror threat

There have never been so many referrals to Prevent, the Government’s counter-radicalization program. According to Home Office figures published this week, there were 10,293 referrals in the year to September 2025, up 39% on the previous year. Extremism, it seems, is surging. There is just one problem with that neat conclusion: referrals are not diagnoses. They are concerns passed on to the system.

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