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Immigration is higher than Ottawa has been telling us (and it’s set to go back up)

In the same week Ottawa revealed that immigration numbers weren’t contracting nearly as much as they’d said, Prime Minister Mark Carney mused about raising them back to never-before-seen highs.

Earlier this year, Government of Canada figures showed that, for the first time, Canada’s population had contracted over the course of a calendar year. In 2025, according to those estimates, the Canadian population had gone down by about 102,000.

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