US election bets surge, despite red flags and mixed record

The director of the longest-running election betting market in modern US politics used to work in a relatively sleepy field, presiding over what he called a “connoisseurs’ market”, where bets were capped at $500 (£388) and no-one made much money.

But the world Thomas Gruca, a marketing professor at the University of Iowa’s Tippie College of Business, now operates in has changed dramatically.

In the last few weeks, as the US barrels towards a presidential election that most pundits and polls say is too close to call, a new crop of companies has exploded on to the scene.

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Election mania already underway in Arizona where man was filmed taking a machete to a Trump sign

An Arizona man was caught chopping down a Trump-Vance campaign sign with a machete after plowing into them with his car.

Authorities are investigating multiple reports of a person wearing a white T-shirt, pizza patterned pants, white slip-ons and a baseball cap vandalizing political signs in the Fortuna Foothills area.

Witnesses reported a man damaging signs near East 40th Street and South Foothills Boulevard by running them over with a vehicle, kicking them over and slashing them with a machete.

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Trump makes gains as poll figures trigger anxiety for Harris campaign

Tightening poll figures have triggered nervousness and anxiety in Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign, with Donald Trump making gains in the states where it matters most as the election race enters its climactic final phase.

Amid a dramatic news cycle that has seen the US hit by two destructive hurricanes and rising fears of all-out war in the Middle East, the Guardian’s 10-day polling average tracker showed the vice-president and Democratic nominee with a two-point nationwide lead, 48% to 46%, over her Republican opponent as of 10 October – tellingly, down from a 4% advantage she registered a fortnight ago.

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The report about a ceasefire between Hezbollah, Israel is incorrect, PM’s office says

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Office dismissed reports that it had accepted the call for a 21-day ceasefire issued overnight by the United States and France.

“The report about a ceasefire is incorrect,” the Prime Minister’s Office said in a statement it issued while Netanyahu was en route to New York to address the high-level session of the United Nations General Assembly.

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The West’s reckless dishonesty over Lebanon

If a keffiyeh-adorned posh kid on a leafy campus were to hold forth on the Israel-Lebanon clash without once saying the word ‘Hezbollah’, none of us would be surprised. To the West’s à la mode loathers of Israel, the Jewish State is responsible for every ill in the Middle East, and its foes are always blameless. But for a world leader to do it, to pontificate on this bloody battle without mentioning the ruthless terror outfit whose rocket fire started it, is unforgivable.

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Four dead and dozens hurt in Alabama mass shooting

At least four people have been killed and dozens injured in a mass shooting in Birmingham, Alabama, police say.

“Multiple shooters fired multiple shots on a group of people” late on Saturday in the Five Points South area of the city, Birmingham police officer Truman Fitzgerald said.

Police found the bodies of two men and one woman at the scene and a fourth victim died of bullet wounds in hospital, he said.

Detectives are investigating whether the gunmen walked up to the victims or drove by, Mr Fitzgerald added. No suspects have been arrested.

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It Looks Like Trump May Have Helped Himself in the Debate

I don’t think it helps to just say what people want to hear. The truth matters. And the truth is that it was not a great debate for Donald Trump on Tuesday night. I suspect he did little to no debate prep in advance, and every time Kamala baited him, he took the bait.

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