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Some pollsters think their results are exaggerating Democrats’ support, and angry ex-Trumpers are the cause

In 2024, a rash of cheap online polls skewed forecasts, underestimating Donald Trump’s eventual margin of victory.

This time around, a handful of pollsters have spotted another possible error in a type of survey that finds participants by sending out SMS messages, called text-to-web polling.

They say it is returning a disproportionate number of disenchanted Trump voters who have switched sides.

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