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What Will Be Left of Ukraine?

Can Ukraine sustain the costs of a long war of attrition against a larger opponent while preserving the demographic, economic, and social foundations of a viable post-war state?

This week, the war in Ukraine will pass a sombre milestone: it will have lasted longer than the First World War.

Much Western discussion continues to focus on tactical successes, technological innovation, and dramatic long-range strikes. Ukraine’s remarkable courage, resilience, and ingenuity in resisting Russia’s invasion deserve recognition. Supported by its allies, it has imposed very substantial costs on its adversary and will continue to do so for as long as the war lasts.

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