Will climate change doom Miami? A specific prediction

From Adele Peters at Fast Company:

Miami Beach is spending millions to raise roads and install pumps and other infrastructure. But because of the local geography–with neighborhoods built on a bed of limestone that lets groundwater up through Swiss cheese-like holes–it’s possible that the problem can’t be engineered away. “I think Miami will have to be basically abandoned before the end of this century,” Pilkey says. One study estimated that around 2.5 million people will leave the area around Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and West Palm Beach, with many potentially ending up in inland cities nearby, like Orlando or Atlanta.

In the meantime, the area is beginning to experience so-called climate gentrification. Some investors are starting to buy property in lower-income neighborhoods that are on slightly higher ground, like Little Haiti–a historically black neighborhood in Miami where property values have risen steeply in the last few years. At the same time, some other low-income neighborhoods in the city, like Shorecrest, are already experiencing chronic flooding, and, unlike richer communities like Miami Beach, don’t have the same level of resources to try to deal with the water’s impact by installing pumps or other expensive infrastructure.More.

Reality check: I won’t be around to see it but at least this is a fairly specific prediction: Miami will have to be basically abandoned before the end of this century. Will it matter how much closer the prediction is to fulfilment in fifteen or thirty years? Or if things have reversed?

How much of the activity and mobility is due to climate change, and how much of that is due to human activity? It almost seems, these days, like a social faux pas to ask.

See also: Astrophysicist: Climate change killed the ET civilizations

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