Le Pen Could Win

Marine Le Pen might well be the next president of France.

The French electoral system requires a majority of the vote, which almost invariably, given the multiple political parties in France, requires two elections. Le Pen seems certain to be among the two candidates who will be in the second election, and polls show that she is running neck and neck for the top position, virtually guaranteeing that she will be in the runoff to determine the winner of the presidential election.

The usual knock by the leftist elites is that Le Pen cannot win because she is on the “far right,” a meaningless term, as anyone familiar with how the leftist elites in America treat those who stand up to them. What these snooty dolts really mean is that Le Pen upholds the historic values and culture of France.

  • Dana Garcia

    Get smart, Frenchies — this could well be your last chance to survive.

    • She faces a huge hurdle with the inane electoral system, but let’s hope for France’s sake.

      • Art Deco

        If you had a non-inane electoral system (one round of voting with ordinal balloting tabulated according to the conventions of the alternate vote), she’d likely still lose because the right bloc in the electorate comes up just a bit short and a critical mass of them are inclined to vote for Eurotechnocrats than vote for Marine. Ordinal balloting would garner FN more seats in the legislature because right-voters are (one wagers) more inclined to make FN their second choice than right elites are to engage in co-operative maneuvers with FN as regards slating first round candidates and gaming the 2d round.

  • Jabberwokk


  • David Murrell

    Good article from the American Thinker, and I hope the article is right. I particularly like the second point, that French voters might keep their true feelings from media- pollsters, and will vote for le Pen within the privacy of the ballot box.

    One negative report from Bloomberg News this morning. There is a left-wing (pro-Frexit, but pro-Islam) candidate moving up dramatically in the polls, and could easily win with le Pen into the second round. His name escapes me, but the French establishment could rally around this left-wing candidate, and ensure his victory.

    • Art Deco

      I think you’re referring to Jean-Luc Melenchon, the neo-communist candidate. She’d have a better shot against him than she would contra Emmanuel Macron, but it looks like she’d still lose the run-off.

      They haven’t been doing any polling of the legislative contests in the last 8 months.

  • WalterBannon

    I still think she is a long shot and that France, like all of Europe is doomed.

  • A Hamilton Guy

    The establishment may put the gears to her; to ensure their dope wins.

    • Art Deco

      He’s no dope. He has ample intellect. It’s his values which are wrong.

  • canminuteman

    I would bet that if it looks like Le Pen is going to win she will mysteriously die.

  • Art Deco

    She’s had a plurality or been in a dead heat right along. As we speak, she’s about even with Macron for the 1st round and Fillion (the conservative) is about even with Melenchon (the neo-communist candidate) for the 3d and 4th position. The Socialist candidate is in the single-digits.

    The problem is the run-off. She’s persistently trailed each of the other 3 candidates in hypothetical match-ups and by large margins. Interestingly, these same hypotheticals show that Euroweenie Emmanual Macron would defeat each of his three rivals, that neo-communist Melenchon would defeat any other candidate except Macron, and that Fillion would lose to any candidate but Marine Le Pen. It’s regrettable, but it appears about 40% of the French electorate has a lick of sense and only 40%.