The Future of the European Union?

The European Commission has published a document outlining five scenarios for how the European Union could evolve within the next ten years.

The so-called White Paper on the Future of Europe, which will be presented at the Rome Summit on March 25, 2017 to mark the 60th anniversary of the European Union, is intended to be “the starting point for a wider public debate on the future of our continent.”

Each of the five scenarios is based on the premise that “the 27 Member States move forward together as a Union.” The document does not consider the possibility that the EU could collapse or break apart, or even that the powers of the EU be significantly curtailed.

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  • UCSPanther

    I highly doubt the EU will be celebrating its centennial. The Soviets fell thirty years short of theirs’…

  • glasnost

    White Paper on the Future of Europe

    Ironic title when referring to the future of Europe.

    • Watchman

      After the EU is done, the report paper colour will be only white part of their ideal future society.

  • Millie_Woods

    That’s strange, in my white paper on the future of the European Union in ten years, I’ve got the President of the European Commission in the smouldering ruins of his bunker ordering non-existent army divisions to counter attack. It’s probable that I’ve overlooked something.

    • Watchman

      Yes, but if the EU was paying you fantastic sums for writing a single paper, you wouldn’t likely write that the EU’s current direction is a treasonous abrogation of the EU citizen’s rights and almost certainly going to end up with the failure of the welfare state and result in a genocidal civil war. Even if it was. Instead you are going to ask those signing the checks what they imagine your report might say, write a report that happens to agree with this vision, and wait for the next commissioned report writing from that same EU entity.

  • Hard Little Machine

    It depends on your planning horizon. In the near run it will become increasingly anarchic and unstable. In the longer run it will slowly evolve into a crummier shittier East Germany trying desperately to keep things running in the face of a hostile unwelcome uneducated alien population. European nations will all have Islamic Autonomous Regions that are effectively self governing under sharia or something like it in varying degrees. Some of these IARs will be prosperous because of where they are and who they affiliate with while others will be District 9 garbage heaps. They will all be fighting a terrorist war with their non Islamic neighbors at the borders between them.

    Economically, Europe is and will be lashed to Russia. They sink or swim together. Europe will become more Russified in the process.

    In the longer run you will see a Russified eastern Europe, An Africanified Southern Europe and a 30% violent unhappy Muslim population embedded inside it. To convince themselves they’re still relevant and viable, European nations will (re) embrace a kind of Medieval feudalism built around the old notion of city states. City states will make a comeback as bastions of western liberalism and prosperity.

    Foreign policy per se and economic globalism will decrease greatly as the logistics of it will become too difficult to do. Too many borders, rules, objections etc. There will be a common market but only for small islands of the continent and population. The ‘green’ sustainable future for Europe will be still born and never come to be. No IAR will submit to any rules from the outside about energy usage.

    The inevitable brain drain will help lower the standard of living broadly a great deal. Culturally, the only functioning organized religion will be Islam. Europeans will be either Muslm of ‘secular’. There will of course be zero Jews. All still functioning western type governments will be largely fascist police states with a light touch aided by a massive intrusion of surveillance technology. Non Muslim non IAR Europeans will extol their perceived ‘freedom’. All types of sexual and communal mores will be celebrated. Not as hedonists but as self congratulatory ascetics who elevate their personal hungers into near-religious status. Identity politics will be the ratio sum ultra of all things and PC-right-thinking will be controlled by law and force. Population of non Islamic Europe is already below replacement rates in many countries so the population will shrink, even with explosive growth rates of Muslims and immigrants.

  • FactsWillOut