The electoral map and the shifting demographics of the United States appear to favor Clinton, particularly because Trump is struggling mightily to attract support from minority voters.
But a nation hungry for change could rally to Trump, the consummate outsider. A Pew Research Center poll last month found that 71 percent of adults are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the nation.
…and don’t discount the October Surprise.
It’s all about the 538 Electoral College votes
Here’s a map of the country, with each state sized by its number of electoral votes and shaded by the leading candidate’s chance of winning it.
We’ll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. 8.