Ferguson effect harms African Americans

From Michael Barone at Townhall:

University of Missouri at St. Louis criminologist Richard Rosenfeld has had “second thoughts.” Like many academic criminologists, he had pooh-poohed charges that skyrocketing murder rates in many cities in 2015 and 2016 result from a “Ferguson effect” — a skittering back from proactive policing for fear of accusations of racism like those that followed the death of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, in August 2014.

Now, after looking over 2015 data from 56 large cities, he tells The Guardian that he has changed his mind. Homicides in those cities were up 17 percent from 2014. And 10 cities, all with large black populations, saw homicides up 33 percent on average.

“These aren’t flukes or blips, this is a real increase,” Rosenfeld told reporter Lois Beckett. “The only explanation that gets the timing right is a version of the Ferguson effect.” More.

Reality check: If so, no real surprise. Other things being equal, law enforcement will benefit the non-criminal over the criminal. So reduced law enforcement in mainly minority neighbourhoods = advantage, criminal. Do the math.

But really, people need to decide for themselves whether it is more important to be safe or to be politically correct.

Hint: Personal safety always pays. Progressive correctness, maybe not.

See also: See also: Conservative writers frustrate me – on school choice Of course school choice works better. It works better for the same reasons as car and dentist choice work better. But that’s not the point, dammit!

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