US Election 2016: Were all the wise men wrong?

That Trump couldn’t win in a general election? Michael Barone offers some stats n’ thoughts at Townhall:

Examination of the internal numbers suggests Trump is running worse than Mitt Romney among white college graduates and better among non-college whites. Clinton seems to be running weaker than Barack Obama among men, especially non-college whites.

There has been much focus on Trump’s negative numbers among women, but Clinton does even worse among non-college white men, only 14 percent of whom support her according to the ABC/Washington Post poll. That’s less than the 20 to 28 percent the May network polls show Trump winning among Hispanics.

This year was the first time since primaries have dominated the nomination process that both nominees owe their victories to majorities from their parties’ most downscale constituencies.

Almost all of Clinton’s popular vote majorities have come from black voters, especially in the South. Exit polls showed her losing white voters to Sanders in every non-Southern state where one was conducted.More.

Reality check: The main question is, why were all the wise men wrong? What were they doing wrong that blinded them to what our American friend has been telling us Canadians for free through the whole cycle?

Despite poor real economic performance in many parts of the United States, no one thought to predict that “This year was the first time since primaries have dominated the nomination process that both nominees owe their victories to majorities from their parties’ most downscale constituencies.”

Odd.

Think of the hoo-haw we heard about dong jokes instead (whoops, Cool media are still flogging dong jokes.)

When people whose job is to be in the know and up with the trends are so out of it, the best suggestion I can make is that there is a looming reality—probably several of them—that they don’t wish to confront. More on that shortly.

See also: Our American Friend: It’s Over, Over Here

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  • They were wrong because they wanted to be right, blinded as it were by their support of the status quo and the requirement they support it.

  • Clink9

    You could see months ago Trump was coming on strong like a freight train.

    Agree with him or not, lots of people in both parties stuck their head in the sand and wished he’d go away.

  • Alain

    That tells me that they were not wise men after all.