Our American Friend: Donald Trump: Republican Nominee for President

Breaking: Hollywood is sending 3 billion suitcases, thousands of flunkies ahead, jamming border crossings.

Last we heard from our American friend, he was reporting Trump’s New York Landslide As Felt In Istanbul. Our industrious beaver closed in on him while he was in a hospital early this morning and made him write this before he went under for a, we hope, minor operation. We wish him the best, and the beaver has restored the Twitterfeed for him for when he wakes up. Meanwhile:


In some sense I could have written this article before the polls closed in five northeastern states: Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland and Rhode Island. Trump was expected to win them all and indeed he did.

Had I written early, though, the real story would have been lost: Trump last night won the GOP nomination for president. His wins in the five states were simply astonishing, prevailing in all categories of education and incomes, in all styles of conservatives, among men, women and so on. Whatever your favorite demographic slice, he won it.

At times I worry about losing Canadians by detailing the extent of Trump’s victories. Hyperbole quickly gets tiresome and engaged readers at Blazing Cat Fur see through it in a flash. This is all to the good but it leaves me casting about somewhat to convey what’s really going on down here.

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One way to put it is: of the 118 bound delegates available last night, Trump won 111. In each of the five states he was over the 50% mark and in two he was over 60%. These sorts of commanding wins simply haven’t been seen in American electoral politics in a very long time.

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One way to put it is: of the 118 bound delegates available last night, Trump won 111. In each of the five states he was over the 50% mark and in two he was over 60%. These sorts of commanding wins simply haven’t been seen in American electoral politics in a very long time.

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Add to this the fact that democrat turnout has collapsed in the tedious battle between Clinton and Sanders, while republican involvement has skyrocketed. Trump already has won more votes than did Mitt Romney in the entirety of the primary campaign and there are still ten states to go.

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The abject “Never Trump” effort received a crushing blow from which it will never recover. Truth be told that effort consisted mostly of jilted consultants angry that they aren’t leeching money off of hapless also ran candidates.

Add to this the fact that democrat turnout has collapsed in the tedious battle between Clinton and Sanders, while republican involvement has skyrocketed. Trump already has won more votes than did Mitt Romney in the entirety of the primary campaign and there are still ten states to go.

Let’s get this out of the way: Hillary Clinton won the democratic nomination last night as well. It was a night of certain symmetries, one might say.

Next Tuesday Indiana goes to the polls and this state is said to be the last chance where Ted Cruz could stop Trump. But he can’t, even if he swept the delegates. Cruz was mathematically eliminated from winning the nomination last night and his increasingly desperate appeals to stop Trump find fewer and fewer receptive ears. He doesn’t wear well and this slow, dying on the vine phase in which he finds himself only brings out the worst.

Trump, however, will win Indiana and do well in the remaining states up to California, which votes June 7th and concludes the primary season. The handicapping currently suggests that he will win the vast majority of those delegates.

Trump will either pass the 1237 delegates required for nomination or be so close that the several hundred uncommitted delegates will easily provide him with the dozen or two needed to get there.

It’s over, ladies and gentlemen. The election will be Trump vs. Clinton.


Reality check: The Animal promised to ruminate on Trump’s foreign policy when he feels better, and we will look forward to that with interest. So much American foreign policy seems, to a Canadian at least, to be based on assumptions that no sane person should make:

– That America First is wrong. Why is it wrong? Hasn’t every counsellor worth listening to told us to beware the person (or being the person) who lives for others? Americans (and everyone else) are easier to deal with if they want what they think is good for them. Then the mistakes people make can at least be discussed rationally.

– That one can export democracy. No. Chances are, most relationships of every kind in a region that has never known democracy are marred by authoritarianism. People must be willing to give up that approach to life at a personal and community level before they can give it up at the level of national government.

The kid who chortles that his dad is going to come home and whale the tar out of mom (who was making him do his homework) grows up to vote for El Thuggisimo who will crush the Loyal Opposition.

We can’t change their outlook. They can—if they want to. No one can make them want to.

– That a nation state doesn’t depend on borders. Of course not! A cell does not depend on cell membranes either, right? And a company does not depend on the ability to say definitely whether someone is—or is not—an employee of the firm? And a church can be iffy about whether or not it has ordained someone to the ministry? And a medical society can be unsure whether a person has a licence to practice medicine?

It’s not relevant whether migrants or any of the others above are good or bad people. Doubtless one finds plenty of both in any group. What matters is, do we have any say at all in who we accept in a given position where we must account for our decisions and their actions, and the outcome? Stay tuned.

See also: Trump’s New York Landslide As Felt In Istanbul.

Trying to understand the Trump candidacy Part 4 Globalization means, among other things, a levelling of the expectations for government.

and

Botworld: Where the citizen is no longer an asset Botworld bears very directly on the Trump campaign because the GOP cannot afford to acknowledge or deal with its significance. Too compromised.

  • “Make America Great Again” Trump or “what difference does it make” Hillary.

    Trump is going to rip Hillary to shreds.

  • Clink9

    You have to wonder what will happen with Ted Cruz’s career after this. You can’t blame a guy for fighting hard but he seems a little desperate now and maybe Americans don’t want him around in the next election. We’ll see.

    • Americans love a comeback as well. That said he likely should bow to the popular will.

      • dance…dancetotheradio

        The double down of choosing her as his ‘running mate’ is an absolute head shake for me.
        When the allegations of his infidelity came up he said nothing while she stepped in front of him to deflect.
        It’s clear she knows that the allegations are true and leveraged herself back into the mix.

      • Minicapt

        The popular will is defined by the number 1237; if DonJohn reaches that before the opening of the convention, then SenCruz will bow out. Until he achieves that total number of delegates, the short-fingered vulgarian remains a unlettered blowhard.

        Cheers

        • Clink9

          I think Indiana will be the coup de grace that puts poor Theodore out of his misery.

          • Minicapt

            Er… “Raphael Edward” …

            Cheers

          • Clink9

            Some people call him Lyin’ Ted, I was just being charitable.

          • Minicapt

            For DonJohn, it’s “deflection”.

            Cheers

  • Sid Falco

    Trump in a landslide. Apart from scroungers and woofters every normal american will vote trump.

    • I think if he takes Indiana you gotta figure it so.

      • Sid Falco

        Non-hyphenated Americans love Trump.

  • Millie_Woods

    Here in Canada, we need to start a ‘If Trump Wins I’m Moving To The States’ movement to counter this bullshit.

    • Clink9

      I’ve been threatening for weeks.

      • Millie_Woods

        I’d love to see that catch on.