No Surrender This Time?

France faces a future of ethnic civil war at worst, and periodic terrorist attacks and political tumult at minimum. Yet its difficulties—both geopolitical and demographic—can be overcome with patience and determination.

“…Also dawning is the uneasy realization that a war on terror might escalate into a kind of civil war between the ethnic French and the French Muslims, even if the security forces are thoroughly integrated and in fact list a high proportion members of the ethnic and religious minorities, including observant Muslims. Again, the numbers seem to matter.

Due to a combination of immigration and natural increase, the French Muslim community grew from about 5 percent of the total population of 60 million in 1997 to 9 percent of 67 million in 2014. Where in 1997 there were 3 million French Muslims there are now 6.5 million. Moreover, some places—big cities as well are rural areas—now have Muslim majorities. And in younger cohorts, thanks to greater fertility or the inflow of immigrants, the proportion of Muslims is much higher than the national average: Fully a fifth of French citizens or residents under age 24 are Muslims.”


 

My prediction remains: We will see France cede territory in our lifetime.

  • The first “two-state solution” may be in Europe.Well, they’ve been insisting on it.

    • JoKeR

      France has an idea they insist will work at stopping terrorism, so they should try it themselves first…..

      • SDMatt

        Love it.

        The Arc de Triumphe was built by Mohamed, dontcha know.

      • Exile1981

        I love that, maybe if everone pushed that idea the French would have to admit it is a bad idea for israel as well.

  • SDMatt

    Also dawning is the uneasy realization that a war on terror might escalate into a kind of civil war between the ethnic French on one side and the French Muslims, the French Left, and the French political class on the other.

    Fixed. That’s how it’s going to shake out.

    • Xavier

      Now replace French with American.

    • Xavier

      Western civilization is headed for some rough times. In 15 to 20 years, when the second generation of invaders is in their teens and early twenties and their numbers are higher , all hell is going to break loose. If we confront the problem now and banish the scourge of Islam from our homelands we stand a much greater chance of survival.

      Truly, nothing less than the future of the world is at stake.

      • I think in Europe things will come to a head much sooner than that. Less than ten years, maybe.

  • john700

    If there will be a stop to this madness it will happen in France. Might not be through democratic means, though.

    • Britain, Belgium are also on the edge of the precipice, really.

  • SDMatt

    My prediction remains: We will see France cede territory in our lifetime.

    I would not bet against that.

  • Hard Little Machine

    Islamic Autonomous Regions. Saying that got me banned from Harry’s Place. But it’s coming to a European nation near you.

    • Xavier

      Where’s Harry’s? I’m in the mood for trouble.

  • Xavier

    We will see France cede territory in our lifetime.

    1) How do you spell ‘autonomous territory’?

    2) Good. Clusters are easier to nuke.

  • Ed

    Civil war??? Jesus! shut off the welfare, and they’ll be gone inside of a fortnight…

    • No, they won’t go, they’ll start the hostilities.

  • Norman_In_New_York

    Within 50 years, the Muslim call to prayer will be sounded from the spire of Notre Dame.