Victor Davis Hanson: Some hard rain is going to fall

On the deteriorating international situation, at Townhall:

Wars often seem to come out of nowhere, as unlikely events ignite long-simmering disputes into global conflagrations.

The instigators often are weaker attackers who foolishly assume that more powerful nations wish peace at any cost, and so will not react to opportunistic aggression.

Unfortunately, our late-summer calm of 2016 has masked a lot of festering tensions that are now coming to a head — largely due to disengagement by a supposedly tired United States.

In contrast, war, unlike individual states, does not sleep.More.

Reality check: A great military strategist once pointed out that it is the defender who starts a war, not the aggressor. The defender starts the war by fighting back.

See also: Hill Clinton, Commander in Chief, collapses at 9-11 memorial A friend sends this vid, suggests watching it full screen (before it is removed). Cannot now find it on YouTube. But bear in mind that this will make no difference to Americans who eat off EBT cards. When disaster strikes, many products of the education system will rage, riot, and will blame “the rich” and the “Republicans.” They will not think, to save their lives.

  • Hard Little Machine

    The question isn’t will the US retake a place on the world’s stage but what if any reaction will it have when something globally bad happens because of it. I don’t see the US sending a carrier group to Japan or Taiwan only to give them RoE that forbids them from shooting or shooting back even if a carrier is sunk. I don’t see the US confronting Iran when it takes over the Persian Gulf and drives up the price of oil to $300 a barrel. I don’t see the US (NATO) dying to defend Estonia let alone Ukraine or Georgia. Whether Hillary or Trump wins the American people are the American people. They’re done with ‘the world’. After 8 years of being told everything bad was their fault, they’ve bought in.

    • JPfromtheeast


      Every time the US has recoiled, this is what has happened: Everything turns to shit. Most of the world goes to war. Shortly afterwards, the US joins in.

      Barbary coast, Philippines, WW1, WW2, Cold War, GW1, War on Terror. The next massive global conflagration is overdue. It will come and the US will have no choice about if to get involved. This is not 1914. Jets and missiles don’t care about oceans…

      • Hard Little Machine

        No the US is finished. 2nd or 3rd world status is a generation away.

  • tom_billesley

    ” …. foolishly assume that more powerful nations wish peace at any cost, and so will not react to opportunistic aggression.”
    Exactly how the Falklands War started. The UK Foreign Office under Lord Carrington had been sending out the wrong signals to Argentina. Carrington was willing to trust to the use of diplomacy and this backfired when Galtieri’s military regime decided that his willingness to negotiate and the drawdown of British military commitment in the South Atlantic were signs that Britain had lost interest.

  • simus1

    Wars start in the fall, after the harvests have generally finished.
    That way requisitioning of horses is less disruptive throughout the state.