The U.S. and Japan May Literally Start a War over Rocks in the South China Sea

China’s increasingly truculent behavior in the East and South China Seas has generated apprehension over China’s intentions and deepened U.S. concerns, especially over freedom of navigation, land reclamation and the potential militarization of disputed features by China. Analysis has focused primarily on the law of the sea, the legitimacy of China’s expansive claims that are now being challenged by the Philippines in the Permanent Court of Arbitration (with a long-awaited decision expected on July 12), and much debate over U.S. policy and ASEAN’s response. However, little analysis has been devoted to the alliance security dilemma and how this influences the behavior of U.S. allies, Japan and the Philippines, in their disputes with China over the Senkaku Islands and the South China Sea respectively.

  • Sooner or later, Japan et al will have to form a new pan-Asian alliance. Obama or not, the US cannot always be depended upon to defend territorial, fishing or mining rights of other nations.

    • xavier

      Agree but the Chinese regime is so insufferable about this. Xi acts as if he’s some emperor and expects the region to kowtow in submission and just hand over their propsperity to the the latest summit of human perfection.

      He assumes that the billions he’s spending for the New silk road buys him gratitude instead there’s revulsion. Even the soft power just cringes everyone. South Korea does a better job never mind India.

      I’m asurly contrarian India not China will dominate the late 21st century

      • I think India is the next big kid on the block but far less imperious than the red emperors.

        • xavier

          Because the Indians are just cooler and less hung up about their humiliations than the Chinese communists.

          Also the Indians have to deal with plurality and aren’t intoxicated by Marxism’s reality denying ideology