Jonah Goldberg on the GOP’s imminent ruin

Here:

Nominating Donald Trump will wreck the Republican Party as we know it. Not nominating Trump will wreck the Republican Party as we know it. The sooner everyone recognizes this fact, the better.

There are only three possible ways to avoid a calamitous walkout. Ted Cruz can win the nomination outright before the convention. That’s very unlikely given that he’d need to win roughly 80 percent of all the remaining delegates.

Second, Trump could reveal he has a hidden reservoir of magnanimity and patriotism, and rally his faithful to the consensus nominee. Stop laughing.

Third, the delegates could pick someone sufficiently attractive that Trump followers get over their understandable bitterness and support that candidate despite Trump’s objections. Who would that be? Certainly not Mitt Romney. Maybe a reanimated Ronald Reagan. Or Batman? I have no idea. More.

Reality check: Seen from Ottawa on the eve of a late spring snowstorm, here’s what the problem looks like:

I don’t see how the GOP elite will ever govern again.

It’s not about Trump. It’s about the fact that the elite didn’t expect the revolt in his favor. They didn’t know how desperate their base is, how little they themselves are trusted, or what is going on in the United States generally, outside their walled compounds.

Why should anyone vote for the donor-approved candidate if the donorcrats couldn’t see this coming?

My own view from north of the border is that a new political party is essential now; the only alternative would be dozens of fragmenting coalitions.

Hill Clinton is surely in a much stronger position. She knows what her supporters want (money from the government to sustain standards of living not justified by their work, along with coercive public support for lifestyles not justified by reason or experience).

And she intends to give them what they want, probably in part through increasing government seizures of middle-income property. (Donorcrats needn’t worry; they protect their investments via tax lawyers, often offshore.)

So it makes sense for Clinton’s core supporters to vote for her. But it makes no sense for the GOP’s core supporters to vote for their donorcrat’s candidate, who will continue to export jobs and import cheaper labour. They can only avoid property seizure by becoming poor.

In short, the United States is bifurcating into Belmont and Fishtown, as Charles Murray put it in Coming Apart.

Our American friend thinks Trump will win. I do not think he will even get the nomination. So Clinton will win.

But this election isn’t about who will win. The election is about whether there will be a single party that can once again speak for the disenfranchised middle or dozens of coalitions. I think the latter. But we shall see.

See also: Divorcing the Donorcrats: Free trade in the real world

and

Our American friend on National Review’s full-on hatefest against the working class

  • What’s to ruin about the GOP as currently constituted?

    • Millie_Woods

      Exactly. Many voters don’t care if the GOP ever wins again. They want to support a party that supports them.

  • Shebel

    I think that Trump will do the ‘second’.

    • Drunk_by_Noon

      I’ll have “soft wood” tariffs for $200, Alex!

      • Sean Connery

        Shpeakng of wood, I was out with your mother last night Alex.

  • Alain

    I suspect there are many like myself, who are fed up with professional politicians thinking they have some God-given right to the public gravy train, and Trump is the only exception. Add to this he is also the only one addressing the elephant in the room, and he becomes the only acceptable choice.

    • moraywatson

      There is this delusional group, late to the party of course, who would like us to pretend that even without Trump in the game, we would still be talking openly about islam and immigration, and media corruption etc etc etc.

      Brussels actually happened. Paris actually happened. San Bernardino actually happened. There are another 1,000 mohammedans ready to commit mass scale atrocities tomorrow, in Europe alone.

      Yet the members of the delusional group thinks “it” won’t happen to them tomorrow in Toronto. And they are actually opining that the choice of the next president of the United States of America is not as important as to how the Republican party will be constituted in a years time.

  • mauser 98

    19+ $$trillion in debt , wide open border , Boo Hoo Boner caved to every Obama command , Ryan total wimp traitor…………

    Trump or blow it up

  • Shebel

    The worst thing about Trump , for Canada ,is that he still might want to be a ‘Deal Maker’.
    He might just put free trading in commodities , in same league ,as US Protection.

  • mauser 98

    19+ $$ trillion debt, Boo Hoo Boner cries and gives Barry more than asked for, Ryan worse traitor than Boner
    ..Trump or blow it up

  • mauser 98

    “Seen from Ottawa” ???
    jackass jerk loon .. what sane person would care what PM Whack thinks about a used Kleenex?

    • Shebel

      Canadians should care . No?

      • mauser 98

        if Canadians cared Supreme Jackass & Premier Strapon would be dispatched like rabid dogs… they don’t care

  • moraywatson

    “But this election isn’t about who will win.”
    You must be out of your mind.

  • glasnost

    One of the good aspects of the Trump phenomenon is that he’s causing the politically-correct a-holes on both sides of the political spectrum to expose themselves. So be it with Jonah Goldberg, who has just shown what he really is. Prior to Trump, I had a measure of respect for Goldberg, I even read one of his books (Tyranny of Clichés, very weak), but now Trump has caused Goldberg to self-identify as a right-wing PC hack who is just as willing to bow to political correctness as any left-winger he hypocritically criticizes.

  • Hanamanganda

    There’s nothing worth saving in the current GOP. Let it burn.

    • Drunk_by_Noon

      I always said that sacred temples made the best charcoal.

  • k1962

    And reinforcements are on the way….millions of them.

    • k1962

      Oops. Wrong article.