Our American friend on last night in New Hampshire

Readers may recall that my American friend, the Political Animal, lives and breathes politics. Most recently, he told us his view on the Iowa debate: With Iowa over, it may legitimately be said—albeit weirdly—that only now the presidential race is under way. and the New Hampshire debate.

Well, after last night, he writes to say,

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For purposes of my Canadian readers, Trump’s (yes) huge win is the only takeaway needed. Kasich isn’t expected to do well in South Carolina, which votes on February 20. Texas Senator Ted Cruz came in third, vindicating his “stay alive” in order to thrive in South Carolina strategy. In what he can only savour, Jeb Bush came in fourth but, crucially, ahead of Florida Senator Marco Rubio, who crashed into a fatal fifth place. It’s difficult to see a viable path ahead for Rubio but the establishment’s embrace of him and his tenuous resume means that it won’t be easy for reality to pierce that bubble of continued self-delusion.

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Donald Trump won last night’s New Hampshire primary with 35% of the vote in a crowded field, ahead of second place finisher Ohio governor John Kasich by approximately 20 points, an astounding result few had predicted in terms of sweep and depth.

The multi-demographic appeal to voters by Trump was on full display: he won every single demographic possible and every region, every county in the small northeast state. College educated? Trump. Non-college? Trump. Lower income? Trump. Higher? Trump. Men? Trump. Women? Trump.

The sheer scale of his win was remarkable: Trump won almost as many votes as the next three candidates combined.

His win finally put paid to the notion that he would implode, that his voters would not turn out (a delusional opinion given tens of thousands standing online to attend his rallies) or that he would suddenly & weirdly tire of the whole thing and retreat to his penthouse at Trump Tower in New York City. How shallow and unintelligent pundits have been this cycle and the glare from Trump’s overwhelming win last night illuminated their banal, craven careers of self-dealing and advancement in a corrupt establishment.

For purposes of my Canadian readers, Trump’s (yes) huge win is the only takeaway needed. Kasich isn’t expected to do well in South Carolina, which votes on February 20. Texas Senator Ted Cruz came in third, vindicating his “stay alive” in order to thrive in South Carolina strategy. In what he can only savour, Jeb Bush came in fourth but, crucially, ahead of Florida Senator Marco Rubio, who crashed into a fatal fifth place. It’s difficult to see a viable path ahead for Rubio but the establishment’s embrace of him and his tenuous resume means that it won’t be easy for reality to pierce that bubble of continued self-delusion.

South Carolina immediately shapes up to be a three way contest between Trump, Bush and Cruz. Trump has led in every poll taken of South Carolina voters since last August. Last night’s results will only further cement that position, leaving Cruz and Bush to battle for second place. Assuming for the moment that Trump does win South Carolina, it’s difficult to see how he doesn’t continue on to take the nomination.

That is why this morning in America a great hue and cry has been heard: the old order passeth away. The worst nightmare of the establishment is coming fully true: the interests of average Americans are being represented instead of the donor class’s. Or, as the Canadian commentator David Frum wrote earlier today: “democracy won in New Hampshire.”

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The Democratic Party of America will never countenance an openly socialist candidate as its standard bearer. The economic interests that control it simply won’t let that happen.

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The stale thing that is the Democratic presidential race had a self-avowed Socialist Senator from Vermont swamp a former First Lady and former Secretary of State in New Hampshire. The blow-out was everything and more that was predicted. Sanders strikes a faux “revolutionary” pose but his supporters eat it up. His policy prescriptions make Prime Minister Justin Trudeau look like Stephen Harper.

I think it premature to write off Lady Macbeth, although her campaign is in something of a free fall and needs to be stabilized. Analogizing to Rasputin is always helpful with the Clintons. She could still win South Carolina which has its Democratic primary on February 27. If she does it’s hard to see how The Little Socialist That Could™ would be able to carry on much further. If he wins, the right people in the party will be having serious discussions with Vice President Joe Biden about a late entry. I suspect those discussions have already commenced, at least as an initial matter.

The Democratic Party of America will never countenance an openly socialist candidate as its standard bearer. The economic interests that control it simply won’t let that happen. Saying it that way puts me dangerously near conspiracy theories, hidden forces and the Illuminati, I realize. But it remains a fact that, in a way not possible by either economic or establishment interests in the Republican Party with respect to Trump, the Democrats know they must not have Sanders as its nominee. The precise manner in which he is taken out by them remains, to my mind, the only interesting element in that race.

Reality check: “The precise manner in which he is taken out by them remains, to my mind, the only interesting element in that race.” Given all the billionaires with lots to lose, one hopes it will just be a big smear campaign or malicious tax audit.

My regular reader (thanks, Marion!) will recall that I think part of the explanation is this: Increasing numbers of citizens of North America and Europe are no longer of any use to the governing classes, just a source of present and future expense. No special effort is thought necessary to gain their ear at voting time or protect their interests, beyond airheads on TV blathering nonsense. It’s probably worse in Europe.

Indeed, Angela Merkel can allow German women to be raped by refugees without turning a hair. The top Swedish cop can sympathize with the sociopathic murderer more than with his victim’s family. And the Norwegian cat girl can meow on without having to catch any mice for a living.

The oppressed peasants of centuries ago were very different in one really important way: The ruling class needed them.

Can you imagine what would have happened if Brian Boru or Holger Danske were asked by a crazed blonde airhead from legacy TV: What, What, WHAT? should we do about young fellows who seek shelter in our lands and then rape and murder us?

Picture their shocked ancient looks: “What do you mean, what to do with them? They are dead men already. Just the formalities now. Forward, thanes!”

But Holger, Brian, and such needed their women to work, have kids, tend the sick, etc.

Who actually needs people who think they are six-year-olds or animals, or want to marry themselves? Only social workers, therapists, social justice warriors, enabling legislators and such others who have found a position in a post-employment society.

And from the point of view of a government that needs to employ people in the criminal justice system, a perp may be worth more, from a public policy perspective, than his victim—if neither actually produces anything of economic value.

Maybe it is not so, but it is beginning to look that way. My question is, what should the former working and middle classes do to restore their dignity? There is little chance that the billionaires will start listening to them.

See also: American friend: After New Hampshire, nomination is still Trump’s to lose

  • kkruger71

    Although I do love that an outsider is probably going to take the Republican nomination, I hate that it’s Trump. I still do not buy into the idea that he believes what he is saying. The only saving grace on that is he is too far down the rabbit hole to turn back now, so if elected he will have to follow through on at least some of his proposals.
    All that does count on Sanders winning the Democrat side. Unfortunately if Clinton takes it, nominating Trump just hands her the keys to the White House. With Sanders you have an equally “scary” outsider, Clinton would be the “devil you know” candidate that moderates would end up supporting, knowing she won’t mean a drastic change to how things are run.

    • Not my ideal, but still a shakeup is desperately needed. Perhaps he will be the catalyst for more positive change down the road.

      • Yes, BCF. The real message of this election is that no one represents the working or middle classes any more. But is that because they are dying out?

        • BillyHW

          What the heck is the “working class” Denyse?

          • David Murrell

            You wouldn’t know, BillyHW, trolling all day as you do in mommy’s basement.

      • V10_Rob

        I see Trump (and Sanders, to some degree) as political doomsday devices, useful in destroying the old order, literally and figuratively. His job is to clear the ground, to repudiate the political class and their toxic ideologies. Anything positive achieved beyond that is a bonus.

  • Petrilia

    Why do you hate that it is Trump? I do not understand your comment at all. You are far too cynical, my friend. I would love to wager a loonie with you that we will be saying President Trump come November. His plans and policies have been laid outclearly, for yearsand yet again. I suggest you get on the Trump Train,or get out of the way. RSBNTV lets you hear his speeches. Canadian TV and radio hosts don’t like him. Why don’t you listen to Trump all by yourself and see what America could be. It’s bad enough hearing Americanhosts who hate him,but how I grit my teeth when I hear very stupid hosts, yes 640am, normally smart, not even researching Trump, just following the leader. Listen to what Trump is saying. I think most people are not smart enough to follow him His IQ is 157. He speaks as he thinks, mercurial, no teleprompter, he just speaks American, right to the heart of EVERY AMERICAN. And he loves EVERY AMERICAN.It is so evident in his speeches.

    • Minicapt

      DonJohn is a whiner, he whimpers, his skin is as durable as a wet kleenex, he is free with other people’s money, he exaggerates, he lies, he throws stones at others but cowers if someone responds, he has the intellectual speech skills of a mediocre fifth-grader. and his interesting personal details are lock-up as tightly as Obambi’s.

      Cheers