Forty-One Percent of British Columbians Support the NDP

Colour me surprised:

A new poll says Thomas Mulcair’s New Democrats are widening their lead over rival parties in British Columbia.

The survey, by Insights West, found 41 per cent of decided B.C. voters would cast a ballot for NDP Leader Tom Mulcair. Justin Trudeau’s Liberals are in second spot with  24 per cent and Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s Tories are in third at 22 per cent. The Green Party trails at 12 per cent.

The poll surveyed 815 British Columbians in an online study from August 20 to August 24, 2015. It also found 21 per cent of respondents undecided.

  • lolwut?

    Shoot me now….. please

  • David

    the ndp had a 20 point lead before the last bc election.
    result liberal 50 seats-ndp 33 seats

    • T.C.

      Yeah, it was almost as if the BC electorate suddenly remembered what happened the last time it had too many beers and decided that pudgy little skank at the bar might be a good time. And now, years later – still paying for child support. Better stay away from that…

  • New Centurion

    Meh…most of them won’t take the time to leave their bongs to vote anyway

    • truepeers

      Harper just needs to be seen on the Island drinking a case of Lucky!

  • ThomasB

    My advice as a statistician (used to work for StatCan) is to take all polls with a pinch of salt. Other than something like the Labor Force Survey, where the initial contact is face to face and the frame is based on the most recent census data, most surveys are still conducted by phone and getting a reliable and complete list of cell phone numbers (frame) is difficult if not impossible. So there is a big risk of bias.

    • Exile1981

      This one was an online poll.

      Our schoolboard did an online poll once about closing a school- people from other districts and provinces could vote in it and you could fill it it multiple times. As you can imagine they had 4000 some response when there was 100 kids in the school and should have been 100 parent responses – 1 per student.

    • Waffle

      Also, a lot of “undecideds” on this one.

  • Jay Currie

    I suspect in this election the polls will be a bit useless unless conducted at the riding level with big numbers. That said 41 NDP at this point makes sense and lines up with conversations I am having.

    Three points: no one “likes” Harper thought they may vote for him, Trudeau is seen as well out of his depth, no one is terrifically scared of Mulcair. I think there is a good chance that this will become a two way fight when it becomes obvious that Trudeau has not a chance of winning.

    • Justin St.Denis

      Mulcair himself I could put down in about ten-seconds flat in a one-on-one. Over padded socialists are easy meat. It’s the notion of a Mulcair government that scares the shit out of me.